Dortmund
BVB
BVB
3–2
Full time · Matchday 1
VILVillarreal3 : 2Full time✓ winner predicted
Outcome56% on this result → home win ✓
Goalsover 2.5 · 67% → 5 goals ✓
Both scoreyes · 65% → yes ✓
Pre-match model call · frozen before kick-off
Dortmund
56%
Draw
21%
Villarreal
23%
Projected goals
Dortmund 2.12
Villarreal 1.33
Dortmund
Dortmund: usually 1–3 goals, 2–7 corners, 1–3 cards.
Reliable pick: Under 6.5 corners (9 of 10 · almost always)
Yellow cards
| Over 0.5 | 9 of 10 · almost always |
| Over 1.5 | 7 of 10 |
| Over 2.5 | 4 of 10 |
| Over 3.5 | 1 of 10 · rarely |
Under 3.5 cards · 9 of 10 · almost always · streak 8
Corners
| Over 3.5 | 5 of 10 |
| Over 4.5 | 5 of 10 |
| Over 5.5 | 2 of 10 |
| Over 6.5 | 1 of 10 · rarely |
| Over 7.5 | 1 of 10 · rarely |
Under 6.5 corners · 9 of 10 · almost always · streak 9
Goals
| Over 0.5 | 8 of 10 |
| Over 1.5 | 7 of 10 |
| Over 2.5 | 4 of 10 |
| Over 3.5 | 1 of 10 · rarely |
Under 3.5 goals · 9 of 10 · almost always · streak 5
Villarreal
Villarreal: usually 0–4 goals, 5–9 corners, 1–3 cards.
Reliable pick: Under 3.5 cards (9 of 10 · almost always)
Yellow cards
| Over 0.5 | 8 of 10 |
| Over 1.5 | 7 of 10 |
| Over 2.5 | 3 of 10 |
| Over 3.5 | 1 of 10 · rarely |
Under 3.5 cards · 9 of 10 · almost always · streak 3
Corners
| Over 3.5 | 9 of 10 · almost always |
| Over 4.5 | 8 of 10 |
| Over 5.5 | 7 of 10 |
| Over 6.5 | 6 of 10 |
| Over 7.5 | 3 of 10 |
Over 3.5 corners · 9 of 10 · almost always · streak 2
Goals
| Over 0.5 | 8 of 10 |
| Over 1.5 | 7 of 10 |
| Over 2.5 | 2 of 10 |
| Over 3.5 | 2 of 10 |
Under 2.5 goals · 8 of 10 · streak 4
67%Over 2.5
65%Both score
9.5Corners (exp)
4.0Yellow cards (exp)
Likely scores 2-1 10% 1-1 9% 2-0 7% 1-0 7%
Poisson model · home advantage · league strength via UEFA coefficients · not betting advice
Dortmund
Villarreal
Dortmund7W 0D 3L · goal diff
Villarreal3W 3D 4L · goal diff
Dortmund · last 10
| Date | Opponent | Sc | R | 🟨 | ⛳ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Hoffenheim A | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | |
| 29/08 | Hamburg H | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | |
| 16/05 | Bremen A | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 08/05 | Frankfurt H | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | |
| 03/05 | Gladbach A | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 26/04 | Freiburg H | 4-0 | 1 | 5 | |
| 18/04 | Hoffenheim A | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | |
| 11/04 | Leverkusen H | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | |
| 04/04 | Stuttgart A | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | |
| 21/03 | Hamburg H | 3-2 | 2 | 11 |
Villarreal · last 10
| Date | Opponent | Sc | R | 🟨 | ⛳ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Deportivo H | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | |
| 28/08 | Alavés A | 0-1 | 2 | 9 | |
| 23/08 | Atlético A | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | |
| 16/08 | Racing A | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | |
| 24/05 | Atlético H | 5-1 | 0 | 5 | |
| 17/05 | Rayo A | 0-2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 13/05 | Sevilla H | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | |
| 10/05 | Mallorca A | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 02/05 | Levante H | 5-1 | 3 | 7 | |
| 26/04 | Celta Vigo H | 2-1 | 3 | 7 |